Moscow Retaliates at Europe's Scheme to Loan Frozen Russian Funds to Kyiv
Kyiv remains facing a severe shortage of funding to maintain its armed forces and economy, after close to 48 months of the ongoing invasion by Moscow.
From the EU's perspective, the answer to addressing Ukraine's budget hole of €135.7bn for the next two years is found in frozen Russian assets located within Belgian bank Euroclear, and EU leaders aim to finalize the plan at their EU leaders' conference next week.
Russian officials caution the EU plan would be an confiscation, and Russia's central bank stated on Friday it was taking to court Euroclear in a Moscow court prior to a conclusive plan is made.
'Appropriate' to Utilize Russia's Assets, Argue European and Ukrainian Officials
In total, Russia has roughly €210bn of its assets blocked in the EU, and €185bn of that is managed by Euroclear.
The EU and Ukraine argue that that capital should be used to reconstruct what Russia has devastated: Brussels refers to it as a "reparations loan" and has come up with a plan to support Ukraine's economy valued at €90bn.
"It is only just that Moscow's blocked funds should be used to rebuild what Russia has destroyed – and that those funds then becomes ours," says Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
Germany's leader Friedrich Merz argues the assets will "enable Ukraine to protect itself efficiently against future Russian attacks".
Moscow's lawsuit was foreseen in Brussels. But it is not just Moscow that is unhappy.
The Belgian government is worried it will be burdened by an massive bill if it all fails, and Euroclear CEO Valérie Urbain says using the assets could "disrupt the international financial system".
Euroclear also has an estimated €16-17bn immobilised in Russia.
Belgian Prime Minister Bart de Wever has presented the EU with a series of "logical, sensible, and warranted conditions" before he will agree to the reconstruction loan scheme, and he has refused to rule out legal action if it "presents significant risks" for his country.
The Details of the EU's Strategy?
Brussels is racing against time before next Thursday's summit to finalize a arrangement that Belgium can support.
Previously the EU has refrained from accessing the frozen capital directly but since last year has transferred the "windfall profits" from them to Ukraine. In 2024 that totaled €3.7bn. Legally, using the revenue is deemed permissible as Russia is subject to sanctions and the returns are not property of the Russian state.
But foreign defense assistance for Ukraine has declined sharply in 2025, and Europe has found it difficult to compensate for the gap resulting from the US decision to virtually halt funding Ukraine under President Donald Trump.
There are currently two EU proposals designed to providing Ukraine with €90bn, to cover a large portion of its funding needs.
- The first is to secure the capital on the markets, secured against the EU budget as a collateral. This is Belgium's first choice but it needs a agreement by all by EU leaders and that would be difficult when Hungary and Slovakia object to funding Ukraine's military.
- That leaves lending Ukraine cash from the Moscow's immobilized capital, which were at first held in securities but have now predominantly turned into cash. That funding is Euroclear property deposited at the European Central Bank.
The EU's executive acknowledges Belgium has legitimate concerns and says it is convinced it has dealt with them.
The scheme is for Belgium to be safeguarded with a guarantee encompassing all the €210bn of Russian assets in the EU.
If Euroclear face a financial hit of its own assets in Russia, that would be offset from assets belonging to Russia's own settlement agency which are in the EU.
Should Russia went after Belgium itself, any judgment by a Russian court would not be enforced in the EU.
In a significant move, EU ambassadors are poised to endorse on Friday to freeze indefinitely Russia's central bank assets held in Europe indefinitely.
Heretofore they have had to vote by consensus every six months to continue the freeze, which could have meant a constant risk to Belgium.
The EU ambassadors are set to use an emergency clause under Article 122 of the EU Treaties so the assets remain frozen as long as an "immediate threat to the economic interests of the union" continues.
Why Belgium is Remains On Board
Belgium is insistent it remains a staunch ally of Ukraine, but sees juridical dangers in the plan and worries about being left to handle the consequences if things go wrong.
A normally fractured political scene in this case has rallied behind Prime Minister Bart de Wever, who is facing pressure from fellow EU leaders.
"Belgium has a modest-sized economy. Belgian GDP is about €565bn – think about if it would need to bear a €185bn bill," says Veerle Colaert, expert in financial law at KU Leuven University.
Although the EU might be able to secure sufficient assurances for the loan itself, Belgium worries about an additional danger of being exposed to extra legal costs.
Prof Colaert also argues the demand for Euroclear to grant a loan to the EU would contravene EU banking regulations.
"Financial institutions need to follow prudential rules and shouldn't put all their eggs in one basket. Now the EU is instructing Euroclear to do exactly that.
"Why do we have these bank rules? It's because we want banks to be solvent. And if things fail it would become the responsibility of Belgium to rescue Euroclear. That's another reason why it's so crucial for Belgium to secure absolute protections for Euroclear."
The European Union Under Pressure from Multiple Fronts
There is no time to lose, warn several EU member states including those neighboring Russia such as the Baltics, Finland and Poland. They believe the frozen assets plan is "the most fiscally viable and practically possible solution".
"It's a matter of destiny for us," says leading German conservative MP Norbert Röttgen. "Should we not succeed, I don't know what we'll do afterwards. That's why we have to finalize the deal in a week's time".
Although Russia is insistent its money should not be accessed, there are further worries among leaders in Europe that the US may want to employ Russia's blocked funds in another way, as part of its own peace initiative.
Zelensky has said Ukraine is working with Europe and the US on a recovery fund, but he is also cognizant the US has been holding discussions with Russia about potential collaboration.
A preliminary version of the US peace plan mentioned $100bn of Russia's blocked funds being used by the US for reconstruction, with the US {taking|receiving